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The Great Inflation and Its Aftermath: The Past and Future of American Affluence, by Robert J. Samuelson
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Review
"If you want to understand the economic events of the last half century, you should read. . . Robert Samuelson's The Great Inflation and Its Aftermath —U.S News & World Report“Barack Obama . . . should read The Great Inflation and Its Aftermath, [a] timely history of how good political intentions stoked an inflationary hell in the 1970s—and how only bold, painful action smothered the flames.”—James Pressley, Bloomberg “Samuelson’s clear-eyed focus on the rise and fall of inflation remains relevant today.”—USA Today “[Samuelson preaches] old-fashioned virtue on a macroeconomic scale: don’t promise more than you can deliver; weigh the unintended consequences of your actions; beware hucksters bearing easy fixes.”—Noam Scheiber, New York Times Book Review “Economics can be fun! Samuelson has a knack for making obscure topics interesting.”—Rocky Mountain News
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About the Author
Robert J. Samuelson is a columnist for Newsweek and The Washington Post. He began his journalism career as a reporter for the Post in 1969. He is the author of The Good Life and Its Discontents: The American Dream in the Age of Entitlement, 1945-1995 and Untruth: Why the Conventional Wisdom Is (Almost Always) Wrong, a collection of his columns. He lives in Bethesda, Maryland, with his wife, Judy Herr. They have three children.
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Product details
Paperback: 352 pages
Publisher: Random House Trade Paperbacks (January 26, 2010)
Language: English
ISBN-10: 0812980042
ISBN-13: 978-0812980042
Product Dimensions:
5.2 x 0.7 x 8 inches
Shipping Weight: 8.8 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
Average Customer Review:
3.3 out of 5 stars
42 customer reviews
Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
#1,136,712 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
I like many trace a great deal of financial issues back to the inflationary periods of the 60s and 70s and would applaud the author for writing on this issue. Except he didn’t. He hardly delves into the 60s and 70s except for superficial dialog like drunk history recall. He blends facts with conjecture and opinion to write about the old vs new capitalism in a bizarre ramble of a book. He constantly goes on tangents, in between financial facts, reminding me of fluff for a Last minute college paper. This author has very limited understanding of the savings and loan crisis, tech bubble, and mortgage meltdown. He has zero clue of the realities of Greenspan’s tenure at the fed. Overall he seems to have very little understanding of anything. He touts this new system and debunks issues like income inequality with lines of emotional conjecture like “that’s patently absurdâ€. What’s patently absurd is writing this strange book during the mortgage crisis and advocating for the system that caused the crisis!! Everything the author supports through emotionally charged quips is directly responsible for the largest misallocation of resources in the history of the human race!!! This author has absolutely no clue what he is talking about.This was supposed to be a finance book?Also he starts his book out with this giant unnecessary diatribe about everyone who’s read his book and influenced it, as if don’t blame me for this crap book blame these guys.Reminded me of billy Maddison... no where in the incoherent rambling of this book did the author really get into the details you’d expect out of a financial book or any non fiction book.Utter crap! Thanks for wasting my time!
'The Great Inflation' is about the inflationary period that plagued the US economy from the middle 1960s until the early 1980s. It spawned four recessions, three of them were deep and severe. The book dives into much detail about what inflation is and how it comes about and how the government responds to it. Samuelson's basic thesis is that inflation was the result of a national obsession with full employment even as business was expanding. This led to higher wages which led to higher product costs which led to higher wages etc. He said it was self sustaining and erroded away at the American idea that things would be better tomorrow. In the middle of the book he goes into the painful attempts to rid the economy of inflation. This led to two recessions: the 1980 recession and the 1981-1982 recession. People forget how painful these downturns were especially today. He gives an amazing narrative on how the recessions unfolded. The way he talks and goes on makes you feel the pain that people felt back during those times.After talking about the recessions he talks about the new system of economics that developed. He said it is not better or worse than the old just different. The briefly goes into how the 2007-2009 recession occurred and how it was the result of lack of inflation driving the markets upward and that being mistaken for financial genius at the upper management levels.Samuelson is in many ways a Reagan Republican of the early 1980s. He does not villianize Democrats for causing inflation, but rather says that they were good intentions gone bad. Some reviews claim that he is a right winger, but he does not condon the US government for acting in the Great Depression (he says they did not act enought) or in the recent recession. However he also says that the welfare state does not equal prosperity. He may not be an economist as one commenter suggested, but in many ways he is wiser than they are. His basic idea is that different economic problems need different solutions and when those problems come to an end they lead to a new thinking about the economy that leads to the next problem ie. the Depression minded government economy led to the inflation although it was correct at the time. He defends free market capitalism by saying that overconfidence rather than greed led to the crisis in 2008. He also challenges income inequality and entitlement spending. The book is certianly an interesting read and I highly suggest buying it.
As economic histories go, this is highly readable. It's addressed to the general reader rather than the specialist and assumes no knowledge of Economics theory; when an Economics concept is introduced Samuelson explains it simply and concretely. There is also a glossary of Economics terms at the back of the book to help any temporarily-befuddled reader.Samuelson has the rare ability to get straight to the point. He never gets bogged-down in minutiae, stays on track with his argument, and doesn't meander. He cuts to the chase. While never self-consciously eloquent, his "just the facts" approach is refreshingly transparent.I think much of his argument is sound although I wonder if he's ascribing a little too much to the notion that the late 60's/70's inflation and its Paul Volker/Ronald Reagan-led cure in the 80's is the foundation for pretty-well everything that has happened over the past fifty years in the economy. This may be partially due to the fact that this paperback edition had to take note of what seemed to be a rebuttal of Samuelson's theory that the taming of inflation had been almost wholly beneficial. The GFC came along while it was being prepared and this edition had to try to make sense of it in the light of Samuelson's original theory; while I find his amended argument that the seemingly never-ending boom since 1983 had undermined the notion of risk and was therefore partly responsible for the crisis quite plausible, it makes it seem as if the clearcut nature of his original history is being distended unnaturally. It's as if two distinct books are being combined into one.Even so, I think most readers will learn a lot from this book, although they may disagree with it. Samuelson is forceful in his opinions but never dogmatic; he is always ready to give the other side of the argument. I still consider his theorizing is based on overly conventional notions - ones where homogeneous "aggregates" like "productivity", "investment", and "capital" can be characterized by precise numerical measurements. The real world is a hell of a lot more heterogeneous and disparate than this and I often thought Samuelson's theory a little too neat and clearcut. With this caveat, I recommend it as a very solid, informative, and grimly enjoyable read.
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